Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 15.287076 17.444397 19.739159 22.355533 25.249441 28.345870 31.902898
2025-10-26 11.840905 14.683931 17.909924 21.817661 26.397904 31.570565 37.827021
2025-11-02 9.746904 12.898612 16.657345 21.422590 27.251090 34.094197 42.677704
2025-11-09 8.206526 11.496324 15.592515 20.990495 27.831923 36.124524 46.836726
2025-11-16 7.031501 10.376880 14.707991 20.615632 28.340094 37.964701 50.713851
2025-11-23 5.995451 9.303096 13.747673 20.009462 28.436789 39.205225 53.797458
2025-11-30 5.380604 8.729865 13.380290 20.118865 29.415233 41.550899 58.312957
2025-12-07 4.845596 8.206085 13.020050 20.182479 30.293775 43.755798 62.677036
2025-12-14 4.424729 7.802700 12.785201 20.381939 31.334847 46.180289 67.376273
2025-12-21 4.012098 7.365742 12.457150 20.407507 32.106235 48.236450 71.613666
2025-12-28 3.769485 7.172256 12.471270 20.919895 33.572659 51.276409 77.263034
2026-01-04 3.517501 6.936046 12.395483 21.279607 34.814605 54.023565 82.566942
2026-01-11 3.227385 6.610961 12.160638 21.387156 35.696463 56.304090 87.312952
2026-01-18 2.842201 6.078525 11.548143 20.860626 35.589409 57.143631 90.022607
2026-01-25 2.528588 5.639827 11.052395 20.479635 35.669274 58.234759 93.097623
2026-02-01 2.244321 5.223321 10.558544 20.063207 35.659915 59.173097 95.952390
2026-02-08 2.000116 4.855775 10.118374 19.701988 35.707969 60.180367 98.914111
2026-02-15 1.750769 4.447469 9.570451 19.117974 35.359470 60.556606 100.924480
2026-02-22 1.619690 4.269501 9.428691 19.223369 36.130403 62.663651 105.579298
2026-03-01 1.494858 4.090291 9.269543 19.284655 36.822743 64.658456 110.101442
2026-03-08 1.396175 3.957491 9.188079 19.476822 37.735200 67.015967 115.226654
2026-03-15 1.287344 3.788384 9.021736 19.501457 38.357178 68.921224 119.687302
2026-03-22 1.235559 3.747712 9.107894 19.995174 39.799061 72.171423 126.311295